The
first frost occurred on 28 September, after two windy and cold days. Until
then, stable fly catches averaged 390 per day at mean daily min and max
temperatures of 8.7 and 24.9 ºC.
High catches during this warm period were
associated with low wind speeds and high average daily temperature, with
no statistical evidence for any change in catch through time. Catches were
best explained by the following statistical model based on the logarithm
of daily catch (N=31):
log10 catch =
2.46 - 0.0025 wind + 0.045 temp (r2
= 0.33)
wind (km/day), temp (average of min/max)
After 28 September, catches were high only during
warm and calm weather. The large catch on 9 October occurred after two
consecutive overnight lows of -4 to -5 ºC. Stable flies were
still active when trapping was terminated, after many hard frosts and a
few light snowfalls. For example, on 2 November at a min/max of -4.5 and
12.9 ºC, 45 stable flies were observed on trap surfaces in the sun at
noon, despite the low numbers captured for the day.